Oregon Unemployment Rate Reaches Record Low 4.0 Percent in February

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Oregon’s unemployment rate dropped to 4.0 percent in February, from 4.3 percent in January. This was the lowest unemployment rate since comparable records began in 1976. Oregon’s 4.0 percent unemployment rate was significantly lower than the U.S. unemployment rate of 4.7 percent in February.

In February, the number of unemployed Oregonians dropped to about 82,000, which was the lowest number since August 1995 when about 82,000 were unemployed. By contrast, the labor force has grown from just under 1.7 million in 1995 to over 2.0 million today.

The 20th century British economist William Beveridge stated that an unemployment rate of 3 percent was full employment. For the United States, economist William T. Dickens found that full-employment unemployment rate varied a lot over time but equaled about 5.5 percent of the civilian labor force during the 2000s. Recently, economists have emphasized the idea that full employment represents a “range” of possible unemployment rates. For example, in 1999, in the United States, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) gives an estimate of the “full-employment unemployment rate” of 4 to 6.4 percent.

In February, nonfarm payroll employment surged ahead by 8,200 following a revised gain of 700 in January. Government grew the most of the major sectors, as it added 4,400 jobs, rebounding from a loss of 3,400 jobs in January. Similarly, health care and social assistance shot up by 2,400 jobs in February following a loss of 1,700 the prior month. Manufacturing added 1,300 after a loss of 200 in January. Construction continued to grow rapidly by adding 900 jobs in February, following a strong gain of 2,500 in January. Only one major industry cut more than 600 jobs in February as transportation, warehousing and utilities shed 1,400.

Over the past 12 months, payroll employment added 39,900 jobs, or 2.2 percent, which was a slight deceleration from the growth rate near or above 3 percent throughout much of the past four years. Oregon is still growing faster than the U.S. growth rate of 1.6 percent.

Since February 2016, Oregon’s growth was very fast in construction, which added 8,900 jobs, or 10.0 percent. Other industries that grew rapidly were health care and social assistance (+8,700 jobs, or 3.8 percent); financial activities (+3,600 jobs, or 3.8 percent); and information (+1,100 jobs, or 3.3 percent). Meanwhile only three industries cut jobs over the year: manufacturing (-400 jobs, or -0.2 percent); mining and logging (-200 jobs, or -2.6 percent); and wholesale trade (-200 jobs, or -0.3 percent).

www.WorkSourceOregon.org

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